Biden claims crime down.... WRONG!

[dyno dan]

In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and America
is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that “[l]ast year,
the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history, and violent
crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50 years.”
....
According to the CPRC, one factor contributing to the ostensible dip
in violent crime is that almost 40% of local law enforcement agencies
are no longer transmitting their information to the national Federal
Bureau of Investigation (FBI) database. In “2021, 37% of police
departments stopped reporting crime data to the FBI (including large
departments for Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York),” and for other
jurisdictions, like Baltimore and Nashville, crimes are being
underreported or undercounted. This leaves a large gap; by 2021, the
real crime data collected by the FBI represented only 63% of police
departments overseeing just 65% of the population. When compared to
pre-2021 data, the result is a questionable “decline” in crime.

Another factor that undermines the official narrative of less crime is
the degree of non-reporting or underreporting of crime by victims.
Since 1973, the federal National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) has
bypassed police statistics and relied, instead, on interviews with a
nationally representative sample of some 240,000 individuals. The
information collected includes the frequency and type of crime
experienced, including crimes that have not been reported to police.

The CPRC summary of NCVS data states that in 2022 (the most recent
survey available), only “42% of violent crimes, such as robberies or
aggravated assaults, and 32% of property crimes, such as burglary or
arson, were reported [to police]… the [NCVS] shows that total violent
crime—reported and nonreported—rose from 16.5 incidents to 23.5 per
1,000 people. Nonreported violent crime in 2022 exceeded the five-year
average between 2015 to 2019 by more than 17%.”

To provide a somewhat broader context regarding these trends, the NCVS
survey for 2015 stated that “[f]rom 1993 to 2015, the rate of violent
crime declined from 79.8 to 18.6 victimizations per 1,000 persons age
12 or older,” and that in 2015, “0.98% of all persons age 12 or older
(2.7 million persons) experienced at least one violent victimization.”
By 2022, according to the NCVS, the violent crime rate had increased
to 23.5 per 1,000, and “about 1.24% (3.5 million) of persons age 12 or
older nationwide experienced at least one violent crime.”

Another indicator of crime that the CPRC examined was changes in
arrest rates. As arrest rates decline, the number of crimes reported
to police falls, because if “people don’t think the police will solve
their cases, they are less likely to report them to the police.” The
CPRC compared violent crime arrest rates in 2022 with arrests for such
offenses over the five years before COVID-19, and found that in 2022,
the arrest rate across all cities fell by 20%. Looking at major
cities only (those with a population of over one million), the drop in
2022 was an even more precipitous 54%, with only 20.3% of violent
crimes in such cities being cleared by arrest.

For murder and non-negligent manslaughter exclusively, arrest rates in
major cities decreased from rates that had been consistently over 60%
during 2015 to 2019, to 40.6% in 2022. Major cities saw similar
reductions in arrests between those time periods for robberies,
aggravated assaults, and rape. Robbery arrest rates dropped by over
half (from over 30% in 2015-2019 to 13.1% in 2022) and aggravated
assault arrests declined from a high of 54.6% in 2015 to just 23.4% in
2022. Property crime arrests mirrored the trend. “Comparing the five
years from 2015-2019 to the arrest rate in 2022 shows a drop of 33%
for all cities and a 63% decline for [major] cities.”

Using these arrest rates and the NCVS figure that only 42% of violent
crimes were actually reported to police in 2022, the CPRC conclusions
regarding crime become much more dismal. Of the 42% of actually
reported crimes in 2022, only 35.2% likely resulted in an arrest,
meaning that overall, only 14.6% of violent crimes result in an
arrest. Applying the analysis to major cities only (using the 2022
figure of 20.3% reported violent crimes resulting in arrest), the
implication is that only 8.4% of all violent crimes culminated in an
arrest. “For property crimes, the numbers are even worse. With 31.8%
of property crimes reported to police and only 11.9% of those reported
crimes resulting in an arrest, that means that only 3.8% of all
property crimes result in an arrest. For large cities with over a
million people, only 1.4% of all property crimes result in an arrest.”

The last paper by the CPRC reviewed the FBI’s violent crime statistics
by comparing the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program (official
police statistics of crimes reported to law enforcement) with the NCVS
data collected by another federal agency, the Bureau of Justice
Statistics. (The agencies’ measurements overlap somewhat but are not
the same; the NCVS includes, for instance, unreported crimes.)

According to the CPRC, from 2008 through 2019, the two measurements
were “unrelated” (a correlation coefficient of 0.0473) but have since
shifted to an almost perfectly negative (or inverse) correlation of
-0.9597. While the FBI figures indicates a national drop in violent
crime, the NCVS reports the opposite: “between 2021 and 2022, the FBI
UCR showed reported violent crime fell by 2.1%, but the NCVS showed
reported violent crime increased by 29.3%.” The evidence “indicates
real problems with the FBI-reported violent crime measure and that the
FBI data are extremely misleading after 2020,” and unfortunately, the
mainstream media tend to rely “exclusively on FBI-reported violent
crime data.”

More facts at:
https://www.nraila.org/articles/20240506/the-state-of-crime-a-steep-decline-or-another-bidenesque-wild-story

-dan z-

[don ho]

Post by dyno dan
In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and America
is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that “[l]ast year,
the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history, and violent
crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50 years.”
....
According to the CPRC, one factor contributing to the ostensible dip
in violent crime is that almost 40% of local law enforcement agencies
are no longer transmitting their information to the national Federal
Bureau of Investigation (FBI) database. In “2021, 37% of police
departments stopped reporting crime data to the FBI (including large
departments for Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York),” and for other
jurisdictions, like Baltimore and Nashville, crimes are being
underreported or undercounted. This leaves a large gap; by 2021, the
real crime data collected by the FBI represented only 63% of police
departments overseeing just 65% of the population. When compared to
pre-2021 data, the result is a questionable “decline” in crime.
Another factor that undermines the official narrative of less crime is
the degree of non-reporting or underreporting of crime by victims.
Since 1973, the federal National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) has
bypassed police statistics and relied, instead, on interviews with a
nationally representative sample of some 240,000 individuals. The
information collected includes the frequency and type of crime
experienced, including crimes that have not been reported to police.
The CPRC summary of NCVS data states that in 2022 (the most recent
survey available), only “42% of violent crimes, such as robberies or
aggravated assaults, and 32% of property crimes, such as burglary or
arson, were reported [to police]… the [NCVS] shows that total violent
crime—reported and nonreported—rose from 16.5 incidents to 23.5 per
1,000 people. Nonreported violent crime in 2022 exceeded the five-year
average between 2015 to 2019 by more than 17%.”
To provide a somewhat broader context regarding these trends, the NCVS
survey for 2015 stated that “[f]rom 1993 to 2015, the rate of violent
crime declined from 79.8 to 18.6 victimizations per 1,000 persons age
12 or older,” and that in 2015, “0.98% of all persons age 12 or older
(2.7 million persons) experienced at least one violent victimization.”
By 2022, according to the NCVS, the violent crime rate had increased
to 23.5 per 1,000, and “about 1.24% (3.5 million) of persons age 12 or
older nationwide experienced at least one violent crime.”
Another indicator of crime that the CPRC examined was changes in
arrest rates. As arrest rates decline, the number of crimes reported
to police falls, because if “people don’t think the police will solve
their cases, they are less likely to report them to the police.” The
CPRC compared violent crime arrest rates in 2022 with arrests for such
offenses over the five years before COVID-19, and found that in 2022,
the arrest rate across all cities fell by 20%. Looking at major
cities only (those with a population of over one million), the drop in
2022 was an even more precipitous 54%, with only 20.3% of violent
crimes in such cities being cleared by arrest.
For murder and non-negligent manslaughter exclusively, arrest rates in
major cities decreased from rates that had been consistently over 60%
during 2015 to 2019, to 40.6% in 2022. Major cities saw similar
reductions in arrests between those time periods for robberies,
aggravated assaults, and rape. Robbery arrest rates dropped by over
half (from over 30% in 2015-2019 to 13.1% in 2022) and aggravated
assault arrests declined from a high of 54.6% in 2015 to just 23.4% in
2022. Property crime arrests mirrored the trend. “Comparing the five
years from 2015-2019 to the arrest rate in 2022 shows a drop of 33%
for all cities and a 63% decline for [major] cities.”
Using these arrest rates and the NCVS figure that only 42% of violent
crimes were actually reported to police in 2022, the CPRC conclusions
regarding crime become much more dismal. Of the 42% of actually
reported crimes in 2022, only 35.2% likely resulted in an arrest,
meaning that overall, only 14.6% of violent crimes result in an
arrest. Applying the analysis to major cities only (using the 2022
figure of 20.3% reported violent crimes resulting in arrest), the
implication is that only 8.4% of all violent crimes culminated in an
arrest. “For property crimes, the numbers are even worse. With 31.8%
of property crimes reported to police and only 11.9% of those reported
crimes resulting in an arrest, that means that only 3.8% of all
property crimes result in an arrest. For large cities with over a
million people, only 1.4% of all property crimes result in an arrest.”
The last paper by the CPRC reviewed the FBI’s violent crime statistics
by comparing the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program (official
police statistics of crimes reported to law enforcement) with the NCVS
data collected by another federal agency, the Bureau of Justice
Statistics. (The agencies’ measurements overlap somewhat but are not
the same; the NCVS includes, for instance, unreported crimes.)
According to the CPRC, from 2008 through 2019, the two measurements
were “unrelated” (a correlation coefficient of 0.0473) but have since
shifted to an almost perfectly negative (or inverse) correlation of
-0.9597. While the FBI figures indicates a national drop in violent
crime, the NCVS reports the opposite: “between 2021 and 2022, the FBI
UCR showed reported violent crime fell by 2.1%, but the NCVS showed
reported violent crime increased by 29.3%.” The evidence “indicates
real problems with the FBI-reported violent crime measure and that the
FBI data are extremely misleading after 2020,” and unfortunately, the
mainstream media tend to rely “exclusively on FBI-reported violent
crime data.”
https://www.nraila.org/articles/20240506/the-state-of-crime-a-steep-decline-or-another-bidenesque-wild-story
-dan z-

Another documented case of Biden lying. Look at Oakland and San
Francisco. Two Democrat run crime-ridden shitholes.

[Hunter Pharma LLC]

Post by don ho

Post by dyno dan
In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and
America is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that
“[l]ast year, the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history,
and violent crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50
years.” ....
According to the CPRC, one factor contributing to the ostensible dip
in violent crime is that almost 40% of local law enforcement agencies
are no longer transmitting their information to the national Federal
Bureau of Investigation (FBI) database. In “2021, 37% of police
departments stopped reporting crime data to the FBI (including large
departments for Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York),” and for other
jurisdictions, like Baltimore and Nashville, crimes are being
underreported or undercounted. This leaves a large gap; by 2021, the
real crime data collected by the FBI represented only 63% of police
departments overseeing just 65% of the population. When compared to
pre-2021 data, the result is a questionable “decline” in crime.
Another factor that undermines the official narrative of less crime
is the degree of non-reporting or underreporting of crime by victims.
Since 1973, the federal National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)
has bypassed police statistics and relied, instead, on interviews
with a nationally representative sample of some 240,000 individuals.
The information collected includes the frequency and type of crime
experienced, including crimes that have not been reported to police.
The CPRC summary of NCVS data states that in 2022 (the most recent
survey available), only “42% of violent crimes, such as robberies
or aggravated assaults, and 32% of property crimes, such as burglary
or arson, were reported [to police]
 the [NCVS] shows that total
violent crime—reported and nonreported—rose from 16.5 incidents
to 23.5 per 1,000 people. Nonreported violent crime in 2022 exceeded
the five-year average between 2015 to 2019 by more than 17%.”
To provide a somewhat broader context regarding these trends, the
NCVS survey for 2015 stated that “[f]rom 1993 to 2015, the rate of
violent crime declined from 79.8 to 18.6 victimizations per 1,000
persons age 12 or older,” and that in 2015, “0.98% of all persons
age 12 or older (2.7 million persons) experienced at least one
violent victimization.” By 2022, according to the NCVS, the violent
crime rate had increased to 23.5 per 1,000, and “about 1.24% (3.5
million) of persons age 12 or older nationwide experienced at least
one violent crime.”
Another indicator of crime that the CPRC examined was changes in
arrest rates. As arrest rates decline, the number of crimes reported
to police falls, because if “people don’t think the police will
solve their cases, they are less likely to report them to the
police.” The CPRC compared violent crime arrest rates in 2022 with
arrests for such offenses over the five years before COVID-19, and
found that in 2022, the arrest rate across all cities fell by 20%.
Looking at major cities only (those with a population of over one
million), the drop in 2022 was an even more precipitous 54%, with
only 20.3% of violent crimes in such cities being cleared by arrest.
For murder and non-negligent manslaughter exclusively, arrest rates
in major cities decreased from rates that had been consistently over
60% during 2015 to 2019, to 40.6% in 2022. Major cities saw similar
reductions in arrests between those time periods for robberies,
aggravated assaults, and rape. Robbery arrest rates dropped by over
half (from over 30% in 2015-2019 to 13.1% in 2022) and aggravated
assault arrests declined from a high of 54.6% in 2015 to just 23.4%
in 2022. Property crime arrests mirrored the trend. “Comparing the
five years from 2015-2019 to the arrest rate in 2022 shows a drop of
33% for all cities and a 63% decline for [major] cities.”
Using these arrest rates and the NCVS figure that only 42% of violent
crimes were actually reported to police in 2022, the CPRC conclusions
regarding crime become much more dismal. Of the 42% of actually
reported crimes in 2022, only 35.2% likely resulted in an arrest,
meaning that overall, only 14.6% of violent crimes result in an
arrest. Applying the analysis to major cities only (using the 2022
figure of 20.3% reported violent crimes resulting in arrest), the
implication is that only 8.4% of all violent crimes culminated in an
arrest. “For property crimes, the numbers are even worse. With
31.8% of property crimes reported to police and only 11.9% of those
reported crimes resulting in an arrest, that means that only 3.8% of
all property crimes result in an arrest. For large cities with over a
million people, only 1.4% of all property crimes result in an
arrest.”
The last paper by the CPRC reviewed the FBI’s violent crime
statistics by comparing the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR)
program (official police statistics of crimes reported to law
enforcement) with the NCVS data collected by another federal agency,
the Bureau of Justice Statistics. (The agencies’ measurements
overlap somewhat but are not the same; the NCVS includes, for
instance, unreported crimes.)
According to the CPRC, from 2008 through 2019, the two measurements
were “unrelated” (a correlation coefficient of 0.0473) but have
since shifted to an almost perfectly negative (or inverse)
correlation of -0.9597. While the FBI figures indicates a national
drop in violent crime, the NCVS reports the opposite: “between 2021
and 2022, the FBI UCR showed reported violent crime fell by 2.1%, but
the NCVS showed reported violent crime increased by 29.3%.” The
evidence “indicates real problems with the FBI-reported violent
crime measure and that the FBI data are extremely misleading after
2020,” and unfortunately, the mainstream media tend to rely
“exclusively on FBI-reported violent crime data.”
https://www.nraila.org/articles/20240506/the-state-of-crime-a-steep-de
cline-or-another-bidenesque-wild-story
-dan z-

Another documented case of Biden lying. Look at Oakland and San
Francisco. Two Democrat run crime-ridden shitholes.

Biden will lie on his deathbed.

[Jan Panteltje]

On a sunny day (Tue, 07 May 2024 09:20:27 -0400) it happened dyno dan

Post by dyno dan
In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and America
is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that “[l]ast year,
the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history, and violent
crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50 years.”

The criminal war monger byethen forgot to count the hundreds of thousands killed in the wars in ukraine, israel and palestine he provoked.
All to get jobs for the US military industrial complex.
He should have them learn a real job like rebuilding america.

[Joe Biden's train wreck presiduncy]

Post by Jan Panteltje
On a sunny day (Tue, 07 May 2024 09:20:27 -0400) it happened dyno dan

Post by dyno dan
In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and America
is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that “[l]ast year,
the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history, and violent
crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50 years.”

The criminal war monger byethen forgot to count the hundreds of
thousands killed in the wars in ukraine, israel and palestine he
provoked. All to get jobs for the US military industrial complex.
He should have them learn a real job like rebuilding america.

And all this time everyone thought he was just lining his pockets.

[Jan Panteltje]

On a sunny day (Mon, 13 May 2024 23:20:13 +0200) it happened Joe Biden's train

Post by Joe Biden's train wreck presiduncy

Post by Jan Panteltje
On a sunny day (Tue, 07 May 2024 09:20:27 -0400) it happened dyno dan

Post by dyno dan
In his State of the Union address this year, President Joe Biden
proclaimed that “Americans deserve the freedom to be safe, and America
is safer today than when I took office,” boasting that “[l]ast year,
the murder rate saw the sharpest decrease in history, and violent
crime fell to one of the lowest levels in more than 50 years.”

The criminal war monger byethen forgot to count the hundreds of
thousands killed in the wars in ukraine, israel and palestine he
provoked. All to get jobs for the US military industrial complex.
He should have them learn a real job like rebuilding america.

And all this time everyone thought he was just lining his pockets.

Yea, it s a strange world, was reading byethen is going to put 100% import taxes
on Chinese electric cars....
He does not want the poor americans to drive electric cars it seems.